新闻网讯 据俄罗斯油气网2月25日华盛顿报道，由于天然气价格下跌减少了对天然气钻井活动的激励以及原油价格下跌减少了对石油钻井活动和伴生天然气生产的激励，美国能源信息署（EIA）预计美国今年月度天然气产量将比去年的创纪录水平有所下降。
EIA预测，2019- 2020年冬季采暖季(11月1日- 3月31日)结束时，美国48个州的天然气库存将达到19350亿立方英尺，比过去5年库存平均水平高出12%。
这一预测包含在EIA 2月24日发布的《短期能源展望》(STEO)报告中。
这种增长是温和的冬季温度和持续的强劲生产的结果。EIA预测，在4月1日至10月31日的天然气补充季节，美国天然气总库存量将达到40290亿立方英尺，如果实现这一目标，这将是美国有记录以来最大的月度库存水平。
今年冬天温和的气温给天然气价格带来了下行压力，导致从天然气库存中提取的天然气数量减少。美国去年全年干气产量和天然气出口(尤其是液化天然气)的同比增长也影响了天然气的库存水平。
去年10月11日，天然气库存总量自2017年年中以来首次超过此前5年平均水平。去年10月31日，供暖季节开始时，天然气库存量为37250亿立方英尺。
李峻 编译自 俄罗斯油气网
原文如下：
Natural gas inventories in USA will reach record levels by the end of October 2020
EIA expects monthly natural gas production to decline from last year’s record levels in 2020 as lower natural gas prices reduce incentives for natural gas-directed drilling and as lower crude oil prices reduce incentives for oil-directed drilling and associated gas production.
U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) forecasts that the Lower 48 states’ working gas in storage will end the 2019-20 winter heating season (November 1-March 31) at 1,935 billion cubic feet (Bcf), with 12% more inventory than the previous 5-year average.
This forecast contains in the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), published February 24, 2020.
This increase is the result of mild winter temperatures and continuing strong production. EIA forecasts that net injections during the refill season (April 1-October 31) will bring the total working gas in storage to 4,029 Bcf, which, if realized, would be the largest monthly inventory level on record.
Mild winter temperatures for the current winter have put downward pressure on natural gas prices and led to smaller withdrawals from natural gas into storage. Year-over-year growth in dry natural gas production and natural gas exports - especially LNG - throughout 2019 also affected natural gas storage levels.
On October 11, 2019, the total natural gas in storage surpassed the previous 5-year average for the first time since mid-2017.
The total natural gas in storage at the start of this heating season was 3,725 Bcf on October 31, 2019.
